Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 88716.961912 93587.994750 98456.394979 103683.902537 109134.718551 114647.379729 120640.558010
2025-06-15 81286.090144 88789.113648 96495.963712 104993.415080 114089.080381 123522.486691 134035.109616
2025-06-22 75694.304570 84999.284995 94765.478696 105758.445189 117765.741160 130460.717880 144875.318645
2025-06-29 70952.495844 81561.904879 92901.436865 105887.659943 120311.678926 135804.513998 153666.239664
2025-07-06 67015.178833 78642.483335 91269.864753 105950.152865 122493.707149 140505.773634 161543.872020
2025-07-13 64812.705182 77448.912288 91364.876763 107756.144247 126460.332638 147063.260556 171396.200477
2025-07-20 62755.687228 76254.654309 91312.691311 109262.308306 129978.807869 153039.619663 180548.753184
2025-07-27 60572.625758 74773.507076 90807.092534 110134.662486 132678.990553 158020.461118 188530.158730
2025-08-03 58141.924661 72873.622388 89700.759403 110203.051210 134359.713720 161765.519613 195048.627068
2025-08-10 56100.395525 71332.780886 88923.087500 110571.148050 136318.572073 165780.736557 201850.093981
2025-08-17 54053.710162 69693.175203 87945.154405 110624.880516 137842.816220 169243.171927 207979.904355
2025-08-24 52748.862996 68890.734183 87913.144853 111760.007742 140614.607846 174151.668611 215811.817075
2025-08-31 50715.527677 67144.905104 86706.441722 111458.605924 141667.874888 177053.616293 221328.610895
2025-09-07 49764.544090 66704.277097 87061.732780 113037.552882 144985.856149 182669.217641 230122.606482
2025-09-14 48519.402979 65843.336974 86856.409121 113892.782472 147400.543297 187194.876184 237623.975292
2025-09-21 47009.500031 64590.661353 86114.785600 114039.651460 148912.580084 190610.284665 243782.218528
2025-09-28 45551.588457 63352.634521 85344.689770 114108.187153 150294.093453 193846.533480 249718.625132
2025-10-05 45032.766513 63303.748759 86056.842876 116026.685354 153973.050085 199905.311466 259138.198127
2025-10-12 44403.409375 63082.909678 86528.503542 117626.110042 157249.349568 205479.714801 267993.473402
2025-10-19 43512.175325 62484.811046 86489.077805 118552.328386 159666.165617 209992.189694 275555.742085
2025-10-26 42296.980964 61417.632056 85808.825328 118624.940033 160978.499908 213119.440206 281401.054166
2025-11-02 41274.137228 60576.225480 85394.054407 119015.728779 162678.949013 216725.661082 287852.813572
2025-11-09 40160.499674 59578.455196 84743.833094 119072.772553 163931.016369 219758.343076 293589.045842